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The Year 2000 ("Y2K") Problem
After
midnight, December 31, 1999, computer systems throughout the world are
at risk of failing. Computers may confuse the year 2000 with the year 1900
on January 1, 2000, and go backward in time instead of forward when the
new century begins. The severity of the problem was raised when Congress
was told that if businesses and governments continue to ignore this issue,
disruption of routine business operations and the inability of the Federal
Government to deliver services to the American public could result.
Committee
on Government Reform and Oversight 104th Congress, 2nd Session
House
Report 104-857
Special Report - The "Y2K" Problem
WHY
IS "Y2K" A PROBLEM?
This special report
is about computers. I know, you couldn’t care less, but this time you need
to listen up! By now just about every major periodical and newspaper has
run a few articles about the "Y2K" or "Year 2000" problem. We will only
briefly touch on the technical aspects of this problem so that you understand
WHY you need to be concerned. The primary purpose of this report is to
give you specific suggestions about protecting yourself and your assets.
Ignoring the Y2K problem could cause you the loss of some or all of your
assets, inconvenience and major frustration. Please read on.
Let’s put this Y2K
problem into perspective. Every so often there will be a news item about
a computer failure or malfunction that causes some havoc. Generally the
problem is quickly corrected. The fix is usually fast and easy since, more
often than not, the problem is traced to human error and not the system
itself. Now think about the effects if these malfunctions started to happen
to thousands of computers at the same time … and the problem could not
be easily fixed.
If you don’t think
this is something to be concerned about, think about these "Y2K related"
real-life stories.
-
A man entered a small
hospital in Oklahoma for emergency treatment. The bill is over $600. Since
he did not have that much cash he presents his credit card for payment
and the charge is rejected. The expiration date on his card is 9/1/00 and
the credit card company doesn’t even know he exists anymore. Everyone is
upset. (Lucky he didn’t have to pay in advance!)
-
I recently called my
bank and asked if I should be concerned about the Y2K problem. I was told
they are "working on the problem" and they "hope" to be ready by 12/31/99.
I asked if my money was safe and was told to call back in a few months
to check how they were doing! They admitted that during their work on this
problem, they found that their vault would not have opened after 12/31/99.
-
A three-year defense
contract awarded in April 1997 for completion in January 2000 caused a
computer to issue a 97-year delinquency notice to the contractor.
-
A traveler was checking
in through a rental car kiosk (kind of like an ATM machine). The system
indicated that "it looks like your driver license has expired". The Virginia
license had an expiration date in 2001 and could not be recognized by the
machine. A lot of time was wasted as the traveler had to find a "real person"
to be able to rent a car.
Computers are used EVERYwhere
and in places you don’t necessarily see them. Cars, appliances, elevators,
security systems, tools. These are the so-called "embedded" computers.
Banks, corporations, and nearly every business in the world use other (more
visible) computers for bookkeeping and data retention. Unless you take
some simple steps to protect yourself, here are some examples of what you
might expect:
-
Your personal and business
checks are returned for payment
-
Your Social Security
or retirement check does not arrive
-
You arrive at the airport
only to learn you don’t have previously made have reservations
-
You receive a $15,000
telephone bill
-
You attempt to get cash
from an ATM and the machine "eats" your card
-
Overdue payment notices
begin to arrive
-
You’re stopped for a
traffic infraction and are told your drivers license has expired
-
Your credit card statements
show incorrect amounts
-
You visit your bank
to remove some papers from your safety deposit box and are told the vault
cannot be opened
-
You’re at a New Year’s
party and the elevator you’re on suddenly stops between floors
WHAT
IS THE Y2K PROBLEM?
Stated simply, the
Y2K problem is that most computers will malfunction when dealing with dates
after December 31, 1999. The reason for this is that the computer software
only stores the last two digits of the year. So 1997 becomes 97; 2000 becomes
00; and so on. When computers "lose" the date, many strange things can
happen which can lead to the corruption or loss of data or in the case
of embedded computers, loss of functionality. Here are a couple of examples
of what can happen when the computer doesn’t understand what the "real"
year is:
-
Junior was born in 1995.
When the computer program calculates his age, it subtracts his birth year,
represented as "95" from the current year, represented as "97". Therefore,
Junior is 2 years old. No problem there. Now, let's look ahead to the year
2000 and the same computation takes place. However, now "95" is subtracted
from "00" and this is where the fun begins. He probably won't be negative
95 years old because the minus sign will be ignored. According to the computer,
then, Junior is 95 years old and starts receiving Medicaid and Social Security
benefits.
-
Grandma was born in
1905 and her birth year, "05", is subtracted from the current year "97."
Grandma is 92 years old. When the year 2000 rolls around, the computer
says that Grandma is 5 years old and is told to report to kindergarten.
This would be hilarious
if it weren't so serious. The Y2K problem will unpredictably affect computers
used in business, government, military, communications, law enforcement,
health care, utilities, transportation, banking and finance, farming and
the food supply.....virtually any institution you can think of.
If you believe everyone
is working to resolve the problem, forget it. Most enterprises are just
becoming fully aware of the situation and even with the best intentions,
there is not enough time or people to fix all the affected software. We
are talking about analyzing and correcting hundreds of millions of lines
of computer program code world wide and an estimated $600 billion price
tag to correct the programs in the U.S. alone. It is estimated that only
25% of all the computer systems will be fixed by the start of year 2000.
WHAT
COULD HAPPEN?
Here are a few examples
of what could happen starting January 1, 2000, as various computers are
affected by this problem.
-
Disruption of 911 emergency
services
-
Problems with air traffic
control
-
Trains improperly routed
on track sections
-
Failure of electrical
generating systems
-
Loss of or corruption
of patient records in hospitals
-
Improper traffic signal
operations
-
Disruption of deliveries
-
Loss of banking records
-
Loss of insurance data
-
Failure of telephone
systems
-
Improper billing and
invoicing
-
Failure of building
environmental and security systems
-
Improper operation of
FAX and telephone answering machines
-
Loss of investment records
-
Failure of various agencies
to properly generate payment checks
-
Personal computer malfunctions
-
Building elevator malfunctions
(stop between floors, doors may not open)
-
ATM machine malfunctions
-
Loss of hotel and travel
reservations
... and this
is by no means a complete listing!
Many of these examples
will affect most of us in one way or another and there is plenty you can
do to protect yourself from the results of these failures.
THINGS
TO DO DURING THE NEXT FEW MONTHS:
1. Write letters
to financial institutions with whom you have dealing (banks, mortgage company,
etc) and ask if they are Year 2000 compliant. Send the letter registered
and ask for a signed return receipt. A sample letter
is included at the end of this report. Ask for up-to-date copies of your
records. There are going to be plenty of lawsuits relating to the Y2K problem.
These letters may come in handy.
2. Get copies of
your credit report.
3. Make certain your
financial records are complete and up-to-date. If you are not already doing
so, keep records of EVERY one of your financial transactions.
4. Ensure you have
copies of the last five years of your state and Federal tax returns.
5. If you own stocks
or other instruments, and the company holding them does not convince you
that they are Y2K compliant, consider selling your holdings and do not
reinvest until after Jan 1, 2000. Check with your tax advisor for the best
way to do this so that you do not incur unnecessary tax liabilities.
6. Check
your own personal computer for Y2K compliance. This involves checking
both the hardware and software packages you use. Checking the hardware
involves the use a small software package that will test to determine if
your hardware will function properly after 12/31/99.
7. Contact each manufacturer
of your software packages and ask if they are Y2K compliant. Again, the
Internet is an efficient way to do this since nearly all software manufacturers
have websites. For example, Microsoft, at: http://www.microsoft.com.
8. Carefully check
every invoice and bill you receive. Errors are likely to occur.
9. If you are doing
any traveling, check and recheck your reservation status with hotels, motels,
airlines, trains, rental cars, etc.
THINGS
YOU SHOULD CONSIDER NOT DOING BETWEEN DECEMBER 30, 1999 AND JANUARY 5,
2000:
1. Fly on an airplane
(air traffic control
may be disrupted or fail; on-board computer systems may fail)
2. Use an elevator
(Elevators may stop
suddenly between floors; doors may fail to open)
3. Schedule any medical
tests or surgery in a hospital
(hospital records
may become corrupted; emergency systems may fail)
4. Make a long distance
call at midnight, Dec 31, 1999.
(you might get charged
for a 99 year long phone call)
5. Ride a train or
any underground people movers (subways, etc)
(traffic systems
may fail, automatic systems may malfunction)
6. Don’t use an ATM
machine
(your bank account
records may reflect an incorrect withdrawal amount)
7. Don’t make a bank
deposit
(your account may
not reflect the deposit)
8. Don’t pay any
bills (pay any bills due the first few days of January, 2000 the middle
of December, 1999. Send payments via registered mail (this one time) and
keep good records of the payment!
(You may find that
your account is not properly credited)
THINGS
TO DO IF YOU OPERATE A SMALL BUSINESS:
1. Contact your
suppliers to ensure they will be able to ship your orders even in the event
their computers fail.
2. Call your payroll
processing service to ensure they are Y2K compliant.
3. Ask your security
system supplier if your installation is Y2K compliant.
4. Determine if your
cash register (and other point of sale equipment) will operate properly
after 12/31/99.
5. Check to ensure
that your business liability insurance policy will cover any losses due
to Y2K-related problems.
6. Ensure
that your computer hardware and all software are Y2K compliant.
7. Check with your
merchant card account provider to ensure Y2K compliance.
LETTER
EXAMPLE (see text):
Here is a suggested
letter format to send to your bank and other financial institutions with
whom you have dealings (investment companies, mortgage company, etc). The
letter should be sent to the President or CEO with return receipt requested.
Call to determine name and correct address.
As a customer of
[name of organization], I am very concerned about the upcoming Year 2000
(century rollover) computer problem and possible effects on client records
and accounts. I would like to know what steps your company is undertaking
to assure me that your computer software and hardware is Year 2000 compliant
and customer-related information will not be at risk.
Send the letter to everyone
who has any control over your financial and other personal records. For
instance; Banks, Stock Brokers, Insurance Companies, Mutual fund companies,
Mortgage company, Credit card companies, Loan Companies, Family doctor(s).
CHECKING
YOUR COMPUTER FOR Y2K COMPLIANCE
To check your computer,
visit http://www.nstl.com/html/ymark_2000.html
and download a small file called YMARK2000. It is a self-extracting file
that produces two files: 2000.EXE and README. TXT. The files are small
and it only takes a couple of minutes to download.Remember the path
to the files.
Now, reboot your
computer to DOS. (If you are using Windows95, simply shutdown and click
the choice, "Restart the computer in the MS-DOS mode.")
Execute the file
2000.EXE by typing the path to the file followed by the file name. For
example, say you stored the file in c:/temp. You would execute the file
by typing at the C prompt: c:/temp/2000.exe.
Within a few seconds
you will be informed if your computer is Year 2000 compliant. If so, you
may rest easy but remember that this only tests the computer itself and
NONE of the application software. For that, you must contact the various
vendors and ask.
If your computer
does not pass the test, you should contact the vendor and ask if an updated
BIOS chip is available to solve the problem.
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